The War in the Southwest:
With the republican consolidation and complete occupation of Ardino and the territories surrouding the large city, the rebels now have an open door to the southwestern provinces of the country. If nothing changes, and even with a large effort by the part of the Visrodin Army, cities such as Petliya, Zdravets and Zlatnitsa will most likely fall over the following weeks.
This forecast for the Kingdom looks so grim due to several factors that give the SRA an upper hand in the southwestern provinces of the country. Firstly, the republican forces are already in the city of Krum, and such dispute of the city essentially cuts the access of the entire west and south of the Kingdom from the north, where the Army is more consolidated and the Kingdom’s political power is centered. With this situation, the logistics in the southern parts of the Kingdom are already under strain, and they depend exclusively on naval routes from the north.
On another hand, with the republican capture of large swaths of territory, cities, garrisons and military storage facilities, the SRA has formed several mechanized, motorized and armored regiments, capable of advancing quickly on the flat, coastal parts of the country. The south and west of the Kingdom, as well as the north are the flattest areas of the country, while central areas are mountainous and are where most of the combat has occurred so far, other than the occupied cities. These new armored and motorized regiments will most likely be supported by the mountaineer infantry, as well as militia forces, which constitute the majority of the SRA.
These regiments have reportedly already reached the eastern districts of the city of Petliya, where they have engaged small infantry regiments of the Visrodin Army.
Finally, the situation in the north of the Kingdom remains tense, as the Knyaz and Military regime are essentially at odds about the legitimacy of their rule and powers, which has started yet another conflict between royalist and military elements of the Kingdom. So far, the Knyaz’s forces have not seized much land other than territories and cities surrounding Sarnitsa. The Knyaz’s army still lacks the necessary soldiers to perform any major military offensive due to the threat the northern SRA guerilla forces present to the capital city.