January 2025 Election Opinion Poll

Nominations close in about a day, so I will post this opinion poll so that the TSP Cabal can rig the election appropriately we can get a better sense of how our most contested election in recent memory will pan out.

Prime Minister Election

What candidate do you currently prefer for Prime Minister and how strongly?
  • Strong Erstavik
  • Lean Erstavik
  • Strong UnitedDisneyStates
  • Lean UnitedDisneyStates
  • Strong Pronoun
  • Lean Pronoun
  • Strong Penguin
  • Lean Penguin
  • Strong Re-Open Nominations
  • Lean Re-Open Nominations
  • Undecided
0 voters
How do you feel about Erstavik’s candidacy for PM? (5 = very satisfied, 1 = very dissatisfied)
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How do you feel about UnitedDisneyStates’s candidacy for PM? (5 = very satisfied, 1 = very dissatisfied)
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0 voters
How do you feel about Pronoun’s candidacy for PM? (5 = very satisfied, 1 = very dissatisfied)
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0 voters
How do you feel about Penguin’s candidacy for PM? (5 = very satisfied, 1 = very dissatisfied)
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0 voters

Delegate Election

What candidate do you currently prefer for Delegate and how strongly?
  • Strong The_Weirdo
  • Lean The_Weirdo
  • Strong Griffindor
  • Lean Griffindor
  • Strong ProfessorHenn
  • Lean ProfessorHenn
  • Strong Re-Open Nominations
  • Lean Re-Open Nominations
  • Undecided
0 voters
How do you feel about The_Weirdo’s candidacy for Delegate? (5 = very satisfied, 1 = very dissatisfied)
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0 voters
How do you feel about Griffindor’s candidacy for Delegate? (5 = very satisfied, 1 = very dissatisfied)
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0 voters
How do you feel about ProfessorHenn’s candidacy for Delegate? (5 = very satisfied, 1 = very dissatisfied)
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0 voters

PM Poll - Pronoun has small lead

Of the 26 respondents, 9 indicated that they prefer TSP veteran @Pronoun while 7 indicated that they prefer newcomer @Erstavik. 7 respondents have also indicated that they prefer former PM @Penguin, but this comes before the news that Penguin has withdrawn her candidacy for PM. Only 1 voter indicated support for @UnitedDisneyStates, while 2 remain undecided.

Pronoun maintains a healthy lead when it comes to campaign sentiment, with an average satisfaction rating of 4.04 for his candidacy, while Erstavik has an average rating of 3.65. Surprisingly, UnitedDisneyStates (3.26) edges out Penguin (3.17) in terms of average satisfaction rating, though this could be due to Penguin not having posted a campaign thread during the time of the poll, among other possible reasons.

The polling suggests that Pronoun is possibly a slight favorite going into the election, but a lot can change depending on how Penguin’s supporters and other undecideds vote.

This poll comes just in time for the Prime Minister election debate, which will take place on the TSP Discord at 2025-01-19T17:00:00Z. Be there or be square!

Delegate Poll - Griff, Henn favorites for second round

Of the 27 respondents, 12 indicated a preference for incumbent @Griffindor and 12 indicated a preference for PM @ProfessorHenn, suggesting that they are the two likely candidates to go through to the second round of voting in the upcoming Delegate election. Of those indicating preference for ProfessorHenn, there is an even split between those who are strongly in favor of them, and those who lean towards them, while those indicating a preference for Griffindor are more strongly in favor of his candidacy. Voters seem to feel marginally better about Griffindor’s candidacy (with an average satisfaction rating of 4.27) than ProfessorHenn’s candidacy (average satisfaction rating of 4).

Voters who are looking for a new Pieist delegate may need to wait longer, as it appears that @The_Weirdo’s candidacy has not taken off, with only 3 respondents indicating a preference for him, and a low average satisfaction rating of 2.19. In any case, we expect either 6 months of continued Cakeist rule, or a new Ice Creamist start in the weeks ahead.

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